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Navigating the Transition

A conversation guide for the hard part: what happens when wages fall faster than prices drop, and Washington isn't coming to help.

March 2026 · Ted Barnett & Don Burton

The Problem We're Actually Solving

Most post-scarcity conversations jump to the endpoint: universal abundance, AI doing all the work, humans free to create and explore. That's the easy part to imagine. The hard part is the 20-year transition where:

See also: Transition Mechanisms — five proposed economic models for bridging the gap.

Mostaque's "Last Economy" gives us the destination. This conversation is about the bridge — practical, non-federal mechanisms that communities, cities, and individuals can build right now.

· · ·

I. The Wage-Price Gap

The central danger isn't mass unemployment in the abstract — it's a timing mismatch. AI productivity gains flow to capital owners immediately. Cost savings reach consumers slowly. Wages for displaced workers drop to zero overnight.

Now — 2028

White-collar displacement accelerates. Legal research, coding, copywriting, customer service, bookkeeping, radiology reads. The jobs that "required a degree" are first, not last.

2027 — 2030

The squeeze. Displaced workers compete for remaining human-required jobs (plumbing, elder care, construction). Wages compress downward. Meanwhile housing and healthcare costs haven't budged.

2030 — 2035

Prices start falling. AI-driven manufacturing, autonomous logistics, and synthetic biology begin lowering costs of physical goods. But the lag has already crushed millions of households.

2035+

Abundance arrives unevenly. Some sectors approach near-zero marginal cost. Others (land, energy, regulation-heavy services) remain expensive. The "last mile" of transition is messy.

How long is the gap? Is it 5 years or 25? Does the answer change the strategy?

Who gets crushed first — and are they the people least equipped to adapt?

II. Bridges That Don't Require Washington

If federal UBI is off the table (or years away, or inadequate), what else is there? Here are categories of intervention that cities, states, companies, nonprofits, and communities can deploy.

A. Municipal & State-Level Income Floors

What's stopping every city from running a guaranteed income pilot right now? Is it money, politics, or something else?

B. AI as a Public Utility

If AI can do the work of a lawyer, doctor, accountant, and tutor — and the marginal cost is near zero — is there a moral argument for NOT making it a public utility?

C. Retraining That Actually Works

Is "retraining" just a polite way of saying "we don't have a real plan"? When the target keeps moving, does retraining become a treadmill?

D. Ownership Models That Distribute Gains

Could a single city become a laboratory for AI-era ownership models? What would it take to make one "symbiotic zone" (in Mostaque's language) actually work?

E. Reducing the Cost of Living Directly

Instead of giving people more money, what if we made the essential things cost dramatically less? Which is more achievable?

III. The Hard Questions

Things we should wrestle with honestly, without defaulting to optimism or pessimism.

On Human Purpose

Mostaque says jobs bundle five things: income, identity, community, purpose, structure. Even if we solve income, what replaces the other four?

Is the "crisis of meaning" a real risk, or is it a projection by people whose identity is their work? Most humans throughout history didn't define themselves by their jobs.

On Political Feasibility

The people most threatened by AI displacement are also the least politically organized. Who advocates for them?

Does the transition happen fast enough that politicians can't ignore it? Or slow enough that they boil-the-frog their way through?

On Concentration of Power

If 5 companies control the most capable AI, does anything else matter? Can local solutions work when the technology is centrally held?

Open-source AI (Llama, Mistral, DeepSeek) is currently competitive. Is that a temporary blip or a durable counterweight?

On What We Can Do Right Now

If we had $10M and one city willing to experiment, what would we build first?

What's the minimum viable "symbiotic zone"? A neighborhood? A company? A school district?

What can individuals do TODAY to prepare — for themselves, for their families, for their communities?

IV. A Practical Action Menu

Not policy prescriptions — things real people and communities can start doing now.

For Individuals

For Communities

For Leaders & Entrepreneurs

V. Pre-Reading

Context for the conversation, drawn from the full reading list:

This guide will be updated after the conversation with a summary and any conclusions reached.

VI. Who's Building the Bridge? A Landscape

Companies and projects working on decentralized AI, alternative economic models, or infrastructure for the post-labor transition. Roughly ordered from most to least mature.

Open-Source AI Platforms

Crypto + AI Networks

Traditional Tech (Relevant but Not Decentralized)

The Key Question

Does the transition require a grand unified protocol (Mostaque's vision), or will it emerge from many smaller, interoperable pieces? Is there a middle path?